Raleigh Elections and Council Overall

Not sure how it works here. For Mayor, will MAB have to reach 50% to avoid a runoff? And for the At-Large City Council, do they have to reach a % to avoid runoff?

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It look mayor Baldwin will win again

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My understanding is Rule is now a plurality wins

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Melton’s a little too close for comfort… really would like to see him pull ahead here. Figured he’d dominate at the number one spot.

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Just left Melton’s watch party and the general consensus is there is a concern with David Knight’s results being to close. If he loses, the concern is a 4–4 split on some votes. If he wins those same votes could swing in the pro development favor.

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Also, really disappointed to see the lack of turnout for Jen Truman in district D.

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There are precinct-level maps on the NCSBE website - click “view contest details.” Of the outstanding precincts in:
District A, 7 of 30: mostly around Creedmoor Road
District D, 10 of 19: mostly ITB, around NCSU, but tough to see how a 6000 vote lead can disappear
District E, 14 of 22: OTB, towards Leesville. Jones’ base seems to be around Cameron Village.

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Looks like most of the precincts, reporting and IMO, it could be worse, but it’s borderline bad.

Which means “Livable Raleigh” was more effective with their BS campaigns than they should’ve been. Uneducated voters showed up at the polls.

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It’s cool, we can all live in SFH neighborhoods all the way out to the Virginia state line, spend 3 hours a day in our cars, eat at chain restaurants from New York and California, and commute to office parks in RTP every day. Doesn’t that sound great?

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Another thing to consider is that Livable Raleigh basically has control of the Wake County Democratic Party.We need to organize and take back control of it before 2024.

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So, there will need to be some compromising it seems?
The post mortem on the former council will be interesting with a possible stalemate council. What exactly happens when everything possibly ends in a tie vote?

Livable Raleigh crowd was very anti-parks bond. Given the results I think their influence was marginal at best except for one district.

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The big mistake was Wake Dems endorsing the LR candidates. I think that probably swayed more than a few people who weren’t paying attention to the pro/anti-development platforms.

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Democrats following the LR/Wake Dems party line but objectively liking parks funding feels about right.

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My mom was basically going with the Wake Dems recommendation for city council. I think I changed her mind but totally agree it’s basically LR.

Except for David Knight, this looks a lot like the Indy Week endorsements too. I wouldn’t discount their influence either. Jones does seem like the clear worst of the winners.

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All about match ups, the race that hurt was in District A, Whitney Hill and Cat Lawson canceled each other out, if a run off was a option then the pro growth folks would be dancing on the couch right now, unfortunately this will seem like Livible Raleigh did something real big :nauseated_face::face_vomiting:, When they really didn’t, So we will have alot of deadlocked decisions on the council, the upside is could have been worst.

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District E is filled with wealthy legacy ITB neighborhoods who were totally on board with the Save our Neighborhood messaging that came out of Hayes Barton. That one proposed townhouse project likely took power from the pro-development council. It’s not surprising to me because I saw a lot of those “save our neighborhood” signs in that area of ITB.
As for downtown, I suppose that the pro development members could retool their messaging to entice these neighborhood protectionist council members to get on board with more development downtown so that the demand is lessened for redevelopment of their neighborhoods. Is there reason to presume that any of these new members are automatically anti-downtown development?

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Excellent question! Who has the answer to this one ?

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Yes, I’ve heard her at some of the five points CAC, she has a hard nimby line :disappointed:.

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