I understand that, but for whatever reason, that was the explanation when it happened. They also split the Triad into two metros at that time and Greenville and Spartanburg were split.
There was a change in definitions in 2003. Wake was more populous and therefore was expected to be the anchor county. Except most the traffic went the other way and therefore the elaborate formula for deciding the pull of the main county didnāt work here (or other multipolar metros, like the Triad). I think Wake is now big enough as a draw that we are getting close to making it recombine.
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Who colors a map like that? If you have a range that spans zero, you use opposite colors on opposite sides of the line.
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Agreed. It would read better if growth was shades of green and shrinking was shades of red, or something like that.
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For anyone hoping for Raleighās 2020 Census information to show a big bump, you are going to be disappointed.
From the latest data dump, it appears that Wake County padded its lead in size on Mecklenburg, but Raleigh itself was all but stagnant between 2019 and 2020.
2019: 474,255
2020: 474,414
You can pour through the data at the link above.
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Still only estimates. The actual census, whenever it is released, will be lower across-the-board for the state. Unknown how the cities will shake out.
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So the city of Durham gained gained 4,848 residents, Charlotte gained 12,422, and the City of Raleigh only gained 159? Iām dubious.
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It frankly looks like a typo. Like the 474ā¦ should be 478ā¦ or 479ā¦ There is no way that the population gain was only 159.
Frankly, Raleigh needs to fight for its numbers. Other cities do, and I just donāt ever see that coming out of Raleigh. The Census is not an absolute count because 100% of residents donāt respond. The rest is formulaic and Raleigh should be at that table discussing it where it can make a difference. I donāt know how that goes down, but this number is ridiculous as we all know that the city isnāt sitting stagnant.
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Jeezā¦ this really makes no sense. The estimate is based primarily on housing supply and group quarters numbers. There is no way we only made enough new housing units for 159 peopleā¦ I wonder if there was a huge decrease in group quarters numbers due to COVID (e.g., students living in college dorms) that could offset the growth. Chapel Hill had a decrease in population from 2019 to 2020, so I think this could possibly explain it.
Really hope the actual 2020 census population numbers for Raleigh show a much bigger increase (relative to other municipalities) because of my hard work knocking on doors in the heat of last summer 
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Absolutely, I donāt believe these numbers I am taking this with a grain of salt. I donāt believe this a bit I will email the council members to say if there willing to get tough with the Census for the real numbers, including folks who didnāt sign it at all.
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This isnāt based on the 2020 Census and isnāt affected by non-response rates to the Census. This is discussed in the methodology behind the numbers that were posted above. Itās based on additional housing supply that popped up between 2019 and 2020, and counts of group quarters (e.g., dorms, prisons, nursing homes). Iām not sure how the City can have any influence on this as Iām sure the Census Bureau isnāt communicating directly with individual cities on this (but happy to stand corrected). You can take these numbers still with a grain of salt as itās only estimates and not the actual 2020 census numbers that will be used for all decision making in the next decade.
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Iām actually inclined that there is something to this. If you told me Charlotte gained 12,000 and Raleigh gained 100 and Wake increased their lead on Mecklenburg, Iād call shenanigans.
However Iām not heavily investigating if Apex went up 8000 or something. Because again, too much worry concerning an estimate that is merely a placeholder for a few months until the official numbers are released.
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Census Bureau today announced that the first tranche of redistricting data, for all 50 states + this time rather than a few states at time, will be no later than 16 August. Could be sooner (recall the previous estimate was September), but wonāt be later. This will give us population and SOME demographic data down to block level, so weāll get official city and county counts.
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Supposedly the 2020 Census data is going to be released today at 1PM. Letās see if thatās true. Given what was reported at the state level, I am not expecting any upside surprises about Raleighās population, rather I wouldnāt be surprised with a lower number vis-a-vis the 2019 estimate. Of course, Iād be delighted to be wrong about that.
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The question on everyoneās mind will be Wake or Mecklenburg for biggest.
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God help us if Meck still comes out on top for the Census. That would be their last hurrah as far as the Census years go.
Oh wait, didnāt the counties already get reported in the MSA numbers?
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One takeaway so far from the news conference is that Wake County grew by at least 20% from 2010-2020.
