Yeah, I realized they must have updated 2023. Looks like there was an across-the-board upswing to account for an earlier undercount on immigrants.
The entire MSA is up to 1,562,000 (nearly 150k more than the 2020 census).
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Yeah, that’s a 53,000 jump from 2023 when I was expecting it be closer to 30,000.
Does this mean that just the Raleigh MSA jumped Milwaukee? I think that is the next one for Raleigh to pass.
County Population Totals: 2020-2024
So it looks like 2023 was upped by about 13k. So the official estimate is Wake grew by 29,050 for 2024.
Milwaukee is still ahead of us by about 12k.
Milwaukee will fall to Raleigh in the next estimate.
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The 2023 estimates show:
- Raleigh: 1,562,009 (grew by 2.6%, or 39,165)
- Milwaukee: 1,574,452 (grew by 0.4%, or 6,563)
So assuming growth trends even close to that continues, Raleigh should pass Milwaukee to become a top 40 market at the next estimate (and may have passed it already IRL). After that we will set our sights on Providence, but that will take several years because it has a population of 1,700,901
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IRL, we’ve most assuredly already passed Milwaukee.
When I’ve played with the numbers, and while the gap with Providence seems large, we could actually pass them by the next Census.
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Hi Street Grid,
Thank you!
Do you have any idea of the 2023 estimate for these two (Cities) vs. MSA’s?
Yes, assuming current trends hold, I think Raleigh should pass Providence in five or six years, so like you say, by the next census.
Jacksonville is currently next after that, but it is also growing quickly and it will pass the Hampton Roads area in a year or two.
Fun stuff to look at if your region is growing. I imagine it is a bit of a bummer if you are from one of those places that is getting passed.
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The recent census release that I was pulling from had info on counties and MSAs, not cities.
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Soon enough someone will update Wikipedia pages, and another site I frequent:USA: States, Counties, Cities, Places, Urban Areas & Metropolitan Areas - Population Statistics in Maps and Charts will also update.
Here’s the page on Wake County from that site:
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Don’t worry Mecklenburg is running out of room and Wake County being 50% bigger has lots of room to grow. Wake County will be the most populous county in the state for decades to come.
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Well, the more I thought about it, the more I realized that updated estimates for 2023 likely put Wake over 1.2M with last year’s estimate, and before Mecklenburg also crossed that milestone.
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Wikipedia has been updated.
Wake passed another county, Allegheny (Pittsburgh), PA, and now sits at #37 nationally. This time next year, expect Wake to pass Cuyahoga (Cleveland). Hennepin (Minneapolis) will be the next victim the following year. Mecklenburg will likely be picking off some of the same counties a couple of years behind us.
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