Probably 500k - 600k residents.
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We probably looking at around 510,000 plus residents for Raleigh, North Carolina, but that’s off Raleigh’s own estimates.
The 2018 estimate was under 470,000. For Raleigh to be estimated that high, there’d have to be a revised 2018 estimate that’s significantly higher than 480,000. My guess is that we’d be lucky to be at 475,000 by Census estimates. That said, Raleigh residents should all be filling out their Census forms to make sure that Raleigh’s 2020 population is reflected accurately.
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We filled it out online the day it came in the mail. So Raleigh’s got at least 2 people for 2020!
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But also NIMBY in the Council Of Slow caused Census to down it estimate projections.
I’m currently emailing representatives for the local, state, and national federal levels about Census a combining The Durham-Chapel Hill MSAs into the Raleigh-Durham Research Triangle metro area.
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Recent projections based on new census data so far has raleigh at 481,958. Raleigh tends to outperform projections by alittle bit so i’d give that number a 3-6k buffer and that’s going to be closer to the actual total.
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These are disappointing numbers. Now really really for merger MSA’s were not even a metro Durham, was sited as quickest to recover from Coronavirus Economic slowdown but not Raleigh. If we don’t re-merge MSA’s Raleigh gonna be another helpless small federally unfunded city fro another 10 years.
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That one Census estimate is totally different from the MSA/CSA designation.
Well I’m pushing for the Raleigh Cary and Durham-Chapel Hill MSAs to be merged.
Ooh, are there projections / insights available already from the preliminary 2020 census data?
What does that mean, hopefully your for it.
The 2019 Census estimates are due any day now, so it’s doubtful that there will be anything preliminary regarding the 2020 Census for the city.
For context, the 2018 estimate that was provided last year had Raleigh just under 470,000. That was up only a few thousand from the year before. Unless there’s some serious adjustment upward on past estimates, it’s highly doubtful that the 2019 estimate will be much more than in the low 470,000s. Even numbers in the 480,000s will be difficult to achieve for the official 2020 Census count if those yearly estimates are nearly correct. Given all of this, It would be a total shock to me if Raleigh came in above 500,000 for its Census 2020 count. Then again, the Census overestimated Atlanta by 121,000 in the years leading up to the 2010 Census, so mistakes are not without precedent.
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Demographia’s annual Urban Area population report is in for 2019 (lags a year like Census estimates) and the combined urbanized area for Raleigh and Durham is 1,493,000. This puts Raleigh/Durham just ahead of Va Beach/Norfolk (1,488,000) and Columbus (1,487,000). The next urbanized area to pick off will take a while because Indianapolis is sitting at 1,623,000.
Some other UAs reported that tend to get lumped into our wheelhouse are as follows:
Nashville: 1,157,000
Memphis: 1,078,000
Louisville: 1,074,000
Richmond: 1,028,000
Note that Demographia adjusts UAs based on their own criteria yearly, unlike the Census which keeps those boundaries static for ten years.
http://www.demographia.com/db-worldua.pdf
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I believe they have been embargoed from next Tuesday to next Thursday. I’ll find the press release.
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So, before the data is released. Who wants to guess where Raleigh will land for its 2019 estimate?
As a reminder, the 2018 estimate was 469,298. Also, Wake added about 20,000 total from 2018 to 2019.
My guess is that the city added 3300 and will land at 472,598. There was a lot of housing construction since 2018, but I am not so sure that a lot of the new DT housing was occupied by last July.
478,684 is my guess.
472,596 is my guess… 
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472,638
With the metro population when they combine Durham-Chapel Hill MSAs it will be the largest metro in the state with 2,560,678.